When I went home last January, I took the plane to Bacolod, since air fare to Iloilo was a bit steep because of the Dinagyang festival. Then I just took a ferry from Bacolod to Iloilo and I got a seat right in front of the monitor.
Fast forward holy week…April, I went to Bacolod again. And guess what? I got the same seat! The same seat number 28F! So I computed the probability of this happening. That is .002 or 0.20 %. (Oh yes, I counted the number of seats in the ferry.) Strange.
On my trip back to Iloilo, I tried to get the same seat. Lo and behold. It was a different boat this time. So my seat is not available.
Now, the chance of me getting the same seat was smaller than 0.20% since the company has several boats plying the Iloilo-Bacolod route. Since I don’t know that number, let’s not compute that very small chance.
Moral of the story, let’s just say that however small the chance of anything happening, if there is a chance, we have to cling on to that minutest of probabilities.
Showing posts with label slight chance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label slight chance. Show all posts
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
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